How hard is it to predict COVID-19 cases?
tl;dr Many different variables affect how the pandemic progresses and it is extremely difficult to identify each one, and precisely measure them. The data we have is surely innacurate, but could be a good proxy for understanding the behaviour of the coronavirus outbreak We developed a statistical model to obtain short-term forecasts of the number of COVID-19 cases We constantly update forecasts and make all results freely available to any country in the world through a web app How many people will get infected tomorrow?
Apr 11, 2022
Global Short-Term Forecasting of Covid-19 Cases
We show our model generates high accurate forecasts up to seven days ahead for COVID-19 reported cases.
Apr 6, 2021
Global Short-Term Forecasting of Covid-19 Cases
Accurate short-term forecasting is thus vital to support country-level policy making during COVID-19 outbreak
Nov 12, 2020
Global Short-Term Forecasting of Covid-19 Cases
Accurate short-term forecasting is thus vital to support country-level policy making during COVID-19 outbreak
Jun 1, 2020